Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Ellen’s Succession Hypothesis Puts Kofi Woods on Threads


An Analysis by Sherman C. Seequeh
The Author
“I traveled on that road [A.B. Tolbert road] today. Is Public Works Minister here?” President Sirleaf growled as she entered the fabulously furnished Paynesville City Hall where throngs of women and supporters stood in ovation to usher her to a Welcome and Thanksgiving service tendered in her honor upon her return from Tokyo, Japan on Wednesday October 17.

“I will not travel on that road again, in that state!” the President continued, increasing wild trepidation and alarm amongst the audience. Then she said: “The Big Push for Development requires that each of us has to carry out our responsibility to the fullest, whether you are Superintendent, whether you’re an Assistant Minister, whether you are a Director, whether you are a Minister, whether you are a legislator. All of us have a part to play. And at the end of the day, this development that we’re pushing for is something which affects each and every one of us, irrespective of party affiliation, irrespective of where you come from. If we build a road, or expand the power, or we increase water supply, it benefits you in your community, I don’t care who you are.”

There are too many roads in the country—and more so in the nose of Government right here in Monrovia. Many of the roads remain in acute disrepair; some impassable. The President has travelled on them repeatedly without venting such a fury expressed. Some occasions, as we saw during the recent electoral campaign, President Sirleaf entered impenetrable forest lands, rode in canoes over wild rivers, drove on swampy and rocky routes, and walked on monkey bridges. The President has even travelled on AB Tolbert Road “in that state” a couple of times. In other parts of Monrovia, the President droved on roads similar to, or worse than, conditions of AB Tolbert’s.  So, what is new about travelling on potholes-laden roads in Liberia, let alone the now talk-about A.B. Tolbert Road this time? 

The President knew that she had just left Kofi Woods abroad where both had gone on state matters. She knew Kofi Woods was not in the Paynesville City Hall. Yet, having ridden on the road “in that state,” she asked, as if to muck, “Where is the Public Works Minister,” before she corrected herself with, “I left him there [abroad].”

President Sirleaf did not forget that Woods wasn’t in the hall. She did not forget Woods was still out of Liberia on a mission she certainly must have known well. An academic and a longtime political activist, Madam Sirleaf doesn’t easily forget the whereabouts of trusted allies. She once branded Woods “my loyal servant.” But on this day, she spoke, or acted, as if she forgot Woods was out. She did not forget.
There is something amiss—and intriguing—something far more than A.B. Tolbert Road that the President was rather hallucinating about.

Think about this: a leader on the Traditional Chiefs of Liberia also made a remark that raised eyebrows. The traditional leader said Kofi Woods always likes to act presidential. Whenever Government or private contractor completed a piece of road or bridge, etc., Woods would invite several chiefs and elders, and a huge attendance to a colorful dedication program. Woods would disembark from his vehicle in the full glare of the waiting audience, walk gorgeously towards the crowd and make big statements that exalt himself rather than Government as if the project being dedicated was a product of his personal sponsorship. What gave rise to that statement? 

Whether Woods himself realizes it or not, there has been wide speculation that he has got his eyes on Liberia’s highest public office. And whether that speculation is true or false, any other Liberian who has parallel ambition would regard Woods a silent opponent. But Sirleaf is not a candidate, someone may hastily object, believing, as we say or commonly put it in Liberia, that Ellen has “got no fish to fry” in Woods’ ambition.” I disagree. 

Former Auditor General John Morlu recently in a speech said President Sirleaf will not have much influence in who becomes the next President. He said Liberia is not North Korea, where a dictatorial regime has a succession plan and that our current President will become a lame duck. I also respectfully disagree with the venerable former AG. Yes, President Sirleaf may not be considered a dictator, and Liberia’s constitution may not acknowledge succession plan for an outgoing president. But Sirleaf does have a serious succession plan for many reasons for which she will not and cannot remain aloof, or exhibit “lame duck” attitude, in 2016. Though her success plan will not be realized, she got it--firmly--and will go all out for the kill for it. The reason is this.

There is an amalgam of complexities born during the leadership of President Sirleaf which portends rough landing for her after 2016. And like every leader or ruler, Sirleaf wants a soft landing upon retirement from the presidency. For instance, how will the next leader treat the potential former President regarding the TRC report? The TRC report holds her culpable not only based on her confession, which she later regretted, that the NPFL rebel group should “level Monrovia”, meaning bomb buildings and maim anyone to overthrow the late President Samuel Doe, but also her confessed contribution of US$10,000 to the largest warring faction widely believed to have visited mayhem and horror upon the people. It is estimated that 250,000 died during the civil conflict, many hacked to death, dismembered, disemboweled and beheaded.

Secondly, there hangs a plethora of audit reports; reports that provide seemingly empirical evidence of corruption--others call it massive loot of public resources--perpetrated by the political administration presided over by the President. So many scandals resulting to loss of millions of United States Dollars took place, and these are investigated, documented and reported by the General Auditing Commission and the media. Several international watchdog groups, including Crisis Group, Panel of Experts, Global Witness, amongst others, also alarmed about the scale of corruption. On many occasions, President Sirleaf herself acknowledged the rampancy or the uncontrollability of corruption. She has got no record of taking stance to protect the Liberian treasure from fiscal piracy and pillage, thus giving credence to critics who believe that this President who at the onset of her leadership declared war on corruption must be in complicity if she is not the prime culprit.

Thirdly, she is a longtime political activist and given what the nature of crude African politics, some of the things the President has said and done openly and in secret could resurrect, and they could have post-presidential accountability implementations.

Certainly, all three scenarios conjectured supra provide serious grounds upon which a critical or revolutionary-minded successor of the President could call her to accountability. There are ample examples around the world that both autocratic and democratically elected heads of states were subjected, some currently being canned, to post-presidential trials related to corruption, misuse of office amongst other things.
The Harvard trained and longtime international civil servant, President Sirleaf, knows this very well and clearly. This is why she has all reason to construct a do-or-die succession plan and ensure that every asset, experience and expertise acquired not only during her 12-year presidential tenure but also since the last 71 years of her existence will be amassed to give cushion to her post-presidential life.

For Kofi Woods, who is situated in the social service infrastructure sector of Government, who supervises works projects dear to the hearts and minds of the rural majority of Liberians, whose name is becoming synonymous to the most tangle and visible achievements of Government--roads, bridges, town halls, schools, clinics, etc.—his gait, smile, frown, handshake and speech are bound to provoke some inkling of presidential disposition, particularly to groups and individuals like the president who have overt or covert claims as well as direct and indirect desire to the Liberian presidency. He is therefore a justified, silent target. 

And Kofi Woods and other analysts following unfolding Woods-Sirleaf relations will make a sad mistake understanding the President’s hitherto amiable, cajoling description of Woods, coupled with her seemingly placid overtures towards him. To get a soft landing after a presidential tenure ruffled by impunity, corruption and nepotism, and allegations of warmongering, President Sirleaf will take no chances. She will turn, if she hasn’t already, into a venomous viper ready to strike and inject the most catastrophic toxins of incumbency and the sniper shot of the trained “freedom fighter” she has long been into any soul showing an iota of sabotage. 

While Woods, for reasons already stated, is a perfect fit for the President’s scheme of things towards 2016, all other current appointed public officials who are wittingly or inadvertently discharging presidentially ambitious signs remain in firing range. And the fires will come in various degrees and magnitudes so that the target, when hit, is reduced to rubble once and for all, rubbed of every character, name and prestige, and rendered totally unable to put up his/her hand to say, “I am a challenger in 2017.” 

Surely Woods, and others like him serving in Government and widely or faintly perceived as ambitious, hang on threads—a thin line of vulnerability—to the cataclysmic venoms of their boss’ succession plans. How they unravel themselves from the looming sword of vengeance fit for a separate piece coming out soon.             

No comments:

Post a Comment